Unlocking the Value of Nebraska Farmland: A Comprehensive Guide to Current Land Prices and Expert Insights - December 2023 Report

Welcome to Our Monthly Nebraska Farmland Value Report

In this monthly report, Jason Smith, Nebraska Land Broker and Auctioneer dives into Nebraska farmland values, helping you understand the factors that determine what your farm is potentially worth. Our goal as auctioneers and farmland real estate agents is to provide you with up-to-date information, recent sales data, expert insights, and tips for maximizing the potential value of your farmland sale. Let us answer the questions you have about selling farmland in Nebraska. Contact us today for a free consultation. You can reach us by phone at 402-739-8696.

Nebraska Farmland Monthly Value Report December 2023
Jason J Smith, Auctioneer

Jason J Smith, Auctioneer

515-537-6633

Jason is an experienced farmland broker and auctioneer with extensive experience in farmland sales across this Midwest.  Jason has worked with hundreds of clients to create advantageous outcomes.  If you are selling land schedule a consultation with Jason by calling or using the calendar.

Understanding Nebraska Farmland Values:

Factors Influencing Farmland Values in Nebraska

Nebraska’s agricultural landscape is influenced by a multitude of factors. In this blog, we will explore how commodity prices, interest rates, government policies, and regional conditions impact the current market values.

According to Creighton University Rural Mainstreet Index (RMI) Survey, the Nebraska RMI experienced a decline in December, dropping to 37.3 from 39.7 in November. The farmland price index for the state also decreased to 63.7 from 64.1 in November. Additionally, Nebraska’s new-hiring index for December slumped to 46.5 from November’s 47.6. According to the International Trade Administration, the export of agricultural products from Nebraska saw a substantial decrease, falling from $1.2 billion in the first ten months of 2022 to $614.0 million for the same period in 2023, marking a significant 47.1% decline.

Recent Farmland Sales Data

Let’s dive into the latest sales data, including county location, land size by acre amount, soil productivity ratings, and sale prices per acre and total price in the table below. By analyzing this data, you can get a clearer picture of how your property may be valued in the current market.

Average Price of Farmland in Nebraska

In the month of December, a total of 7,332.47 acres were sold in Nebraska from auction sales data. The current average per acre price for land in Nebraska according to these December sales is $6,663 per acre. The highest selling farm in Nebraska in the month of December 2023 sold on December 8th in Lincoln County for $3,008,000 or $9,400 per acre for 320 acres, with an NCCPI of 63.7. The farm with the highest selling price per acre sold on that same day, December 8th, in Saunders County for $16,200 per acre for 99.5 acres, with an NCCPI of 71.03.

Is Now A Good Time to Sell Farmland in Nebraska?

The Nebraska farmland market has remained strong through the year and is especially strong in eastern Nebraska along the Missouri River and through the Platte River Corridor.  Sales across the state have met and exceeded sellers expectations in most cases.  Dryland sales have kept pace over the course of the last 11 months while irrigated farmland seems to have made some gains over the same period of time.  Ranch land and hunting land sales have remained steady with many successful sales across the state, and notably in North Central and Western Nebraska.  Access to water remains an important issue in Nebraska land sales and prices reflect that.  

Farmland Auction Results in Nebraska December 2023

County Total Acres $/Acre Soil Score Index Total Price Date Sold
Keith 317.3 $1,450 51.8 NCCPI $460,000 12/1/23
Keith 160.9 $1,585 50.5 NCCPI $255,000 12/1/23
Keith 320.8 $1,450 47.8 NCCPI $465,000 12/1/23
Keith 163.1 $1,242 51.5 NCCPI $202,500 12/1/23
Furnas 40 $2,900 71.6 NCCPI $116,000 12/5/23
Furnas 248 $2,100 58.4 NCCPI $520,800 12/5/23
Dawson 146.79 $6,025 34.4 NCCPI $884,410 12/5/23
Lincoln 284.8 $1,300 20.5 NCCPI $370,253 12/8/23
Lincoln 320 $9,400 63.7 NCCPI $3,008,000 12/8/23
Saunders 79.97 $10,000 66.74 NCCPI $790,000 12/8/23
Saunders 62.26 $9,500 67.44 NCCPI $589,000 12/8/23
Saunders 40 $15,900 56.35 NCCPI $636,000 12/8/23
Saunders 99.497 $16,200 71.03 NCCPI $1,603,800 12/8/23
Saunders 69.99 $16,000 66.18 NCCPI $1,104,000 12/8/23
Pierce 156.7 $3,350 26.7 NCCPI $524,912 12/12/23
Pierce 160.5 $3,900 35.2 NCCPI $626,067 12/12/23
Pierce 149.6 $5,525 44.2 NCCPI $826,706 12/12/23
Pierce 80.3 $9,950 52 NCCPI $799,482 12/12/23
Nemaha 109 $7,500 NCCPI $817,500 12/12/23
Valley 319.64 $2,100 63.1 CSR2 $671,244 12/12/23
Dundy 756.8 $674 13.1 NCCPI $510,000 12/13/23
Dundy 141.3 $283 10.4 NCCPI $40,000 12/13/23
Dundy 1441.4 $694 9 NCCPI $1,000,000 12/13/23
Dundy 218.9 $959 23.9 NCCPI $210,000 12/13/23
Dundy 90.9 $770 31.8 NCCPI $70,000 12/13/23
Cedar 160 $14,800 70.6 NCCPI $2,368,000 12/14/23
Hamilton 153.3 $16,050 64.8 CSR2 $2,460,465 12/14/23
Saline 148.69 $7,800 60.8 CSR2 $1,159,782 12/14/23
Saline 80.23 $7,300 62.5 CSR2 $585,679 12/14/23
Saline 60.03 $5,900 62.4 CSR2 $354,177 12/14/23
Saline 40.84 $5,550 68.7 CSR2 $226,662 12/14/23
Adams 50.9 $5,892 73.6 NCCPI $300,000 12/15/23
Burt 39.17 $13,550.00 71.95 NCCPI $542,000 12/15/23
Richardson 156.53 $9,650 61.1 CSR2 $1,510,515 12/15/23
Dawson 212 $10,375 63.5 NCCPI $2,200,000 12/19/23
Deuel 152.01 $6,000 33.3 CSR2 $912,060 12/19/23
Dodge 100.32 $12,900 NCCPI $1,294,128 12/20/23
STATEWIDE AVERAGES 198.17 $6,663 $838,220
STATEWIDE TOTALS 7332.47 $31,014,141

Call us about selling your Nebraska land at 402-739-8696  We can help you safely transition your land ownership using a private sale, public auction or even a private land auction.

Market Trends and Future Projections:

Nebraska Land Market Trends

Each month we like discuss current trends in Nebraska farmland sales, highlighting patterns, emerging opportunities, and potential challenges.

Every year the Center for Agricultural Profitability, which is based in the Department of Agricultural Economics at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, conducts the Nebraska Farm Real Estate Market Survey. Results from the survey are divided by land class and agricultural statistic district and was released in February 2023. As you can see, the average price per acre of farms sold by auction method in the month of December exceeds the highest average price per acre statewide. 

You can view each regions’ average value categorized by land type in our comprehensive blog about this survey here 

Nebraska Farmland Prices

According to the USDA-National Agricultural Statistics Services (USDA-NASS)  survey released in February 2023, Nebraska’s farm real estate value experienced a substantial 13.1% increase, averaging $4,240 per acre—an annual growth of $490/acre. The state ranked fifth in the nation for the highest percentage annual increase in farm real estate. Additionally, Nebraska’s cropland values reported the third-highest surge in the country, rising by 13.8% to reach an average of $6,830 per acre. These statistics highlight the robust growth and market dynamics within Nebraska’s agricultural real estate landscape in 2023. 

More recently, data from the Farm Credit Services of America indicates that Nebraska’s land values have seen a notable increase, rising by 4.4% in the last six months and 7.8% over the course of the year. Specifically, cropland values experienced an average uptick of 4.2%, while pastureland values saw a 5.9% increase in the most recent six-month period. Comparing year-over-year figures, values rose by 6.2% for cropland and 5.4% for pastureland. However, sales showed a decrease of nearly 12% for the year.

Future Predictions for Farmland Values

Here you will gain insights into the future of Nebraska’s farmland market with our expert forecasts. Understand what to expect in the coming months and years. Here’s what we are predicting:

Steady Values: Farmland values have stabilized after three years of remarkable growth, defying the impact of market pressures.

Broker Insights: Tight supplies and high demand mitigating challenges from falling commodity prices and rising interest rates.

Local Dominance: Local farmers, buoyed by record farm incomes, continue to drive sales, acquiring 80% of available land.

Financial Trends: Despite narrowed equity positions, lending increases, a trend evident in the recent Ag Credit Survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

Quality Matters: Premium properties remain in high demand, consistently achieving sale prices that surpass the expectations of both agents and sellers.

Commodity Challenges: Lower commodity prices may tighten profit margins in the next growing season, influencing investor behavior.

Cautious Buyers: Despite strong stock market performance, cautious buyers navigate lower cash grain prices, impacting spending decisions.

Anticipated Demand: Anticipated sustained demand for high-quality land indicates optimism despite short-term profit constraints.

 

Navigating the Selling Process:

Tips for Selling Your Farm in Nebraska

Explore a set of practical tips for successfully selling your farmland by downloading our free eBooks here. Schedule a non obligatory consultation with us today and we will cover everything from when is the best time to sell, a customized marketing plan, sales methods, how we can help you find the right buyer, and answer your questions.

Farm Real Estate Experts in Nebraska

Meet our team of Nebraska farm real estate and auction experts who can provide you with valuable guidance and personalized assistance throughout the selling process. If you’re looking to uncover the true value of your Nebraska farm or are considering selling, don’t hesitate to reach out to our experienced team. We’re here to provide you with a customized plan to meet your goals. Contact us today to get started.

Assessing Your Farm’s Worth:

Nebraska Land Market Analysis Appraisal Technique

Curious what your farm could sell for? We prepare market analysis for each of our farmland sellers to help you discover and learn what your farm is worth from our market based research and expertise. Fill out our form here to request a market analysis of your Nebraska farmland or call us at 402-739-8696

Alyssa Bromm

Alyssa Bromm

Nebraska Farm and Ranch Agent

Alyssa graduated from the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, where she received her Bachelor’s in Business Administration with a focus on Management and a minor in Economics. She is a Nebraska Native, originally from a small town in the northeast part of the state. One of the most appreciated aspects of her job is getting to know each owner individually; the sense of community in this industry drives her dedication to maximizing your potential.

Alyssa is excited for the opportunity to earn your business. If you are curious about selling or would like to talk about your options, please reach out to her at (402) 870-2975 or [email protected].